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Red43
325715.6
11422.8
107216.4
Blue54
841B20.9
207329.3
167124.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6668455055607580854354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#25
22.82.1
25.823.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
blue by 6.5
29.30.5
27.527.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Second
1072
#32
16.42.1
18.516.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.4
End2.1
blue by 7.6
1671
#10
24.00.5
19.919.4
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End2.5
Third
3257
#33
15.62.1
15.913.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 5.3
841B
#14
20.98.2
21.313.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed