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Red87
425518.0
207329.3
397022.8
Blue72
304520.7
545820.8
876819.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76662040601001208772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.4
28.428.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End2.6
red by 8.5
20.80.1
20.720.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.5
Second
22.80.4
21.922.3
Auto7.9
Teleop13.4
End1.4
red by 2.1
3045
#18
20.70.1
20.520.7
Auto8.9
Teleop10.4
End1.4
Third
4255
#29
18.00.4
17.217.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.2
blue by 1.9
8768
#27
19.90.1
19.819.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1