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Red74
167124.0
545820.8
304520.7
Blue85
11422.8
84122.6
570021.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727160657580857485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#10
24.00.1
24.024.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End2.5
red by 1.2
114
#25
22.80.5
22.122.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Second
20.80.1
20.720.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.5
blue by 1.8
841
#34
22.60.5
21.922.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.4
End0.8
Third
3045
#18
20.70.1
20.620.7
Auto8.9
Teleop10.4
End1.4
blue by 0.5
21.20.5
20.521.0
Auto12.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9