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Red43
228820.0
186813.7
264315.3
Blue69
167124.0
545820.8
304520.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527602040601001201404369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2288
#12
20.00.3
20.320.0
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End3.3
blue by 4.0
1671
#10
24.00.0
24.224.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End2.5
Second
2643
#11
15.30.3
15.615.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 5.5
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.5
Third
1868
#20
13.70.3
14.013.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
blue by 6.9
3045
#18
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto8.9
Teleop10.4
End1.4