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Red90
213527.7
696224.4
Blue77
11422.8
84122.6
570021.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62740501001502009077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.4
27.628.0
Auto12.0
Teleop13.4
End2.3
red by 4.9
114
#25
22.80.2
22.622.8
Auto8.8
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Second
24.40.4
24.324.7
Auto12.0
Teleop11.8
End0.6
red by 1.8
841
#34
22.60.2
22.322.6
Auto6.3
Teleop15.4
End0.8
Third
6.10.5
6.06.5
Auto0.6
Teleop4.9
End0.6
blue by 15.1
21.20.2
21.021.2
Auto12.5
Teleop7.7
End0.9