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Red120
25447.9
60439.0
413510.8
Blue114
167850.8
541933.7
22049.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107103708090120130140150120114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
47.90.4
47.447.8
Auto18.5
Teleop23.1
End6.3
blue by 2.9
50.80.5
50.751.2
Auto18.8
Teleop24.8
End7.1
Second
604
#1
39.00.4
38.538.9
Auto15.8
Teleop19.2
End4.0
red by 5.3
33.70.5
33.634.1
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
Third
4135
#32
10.80.4
10.410.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.5
red by 1.1
2204
#26
9.70.5
9.29.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.1