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Red30
413510.8
840416.6
7517.3
Blue57
34829.3
804823.4
713012.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4339102030506070803057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#11
16.60.6
14.413.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
blue by 6.8
23.41.4
19.320.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Second
4135
#32
10.80.9
12.511.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.5
blue by 1.9
7130
#22
12.71.4
8.19.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Third
751
#27
7.30.9
11.410.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 2.0
3482
#24
9.32.4
8.210.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed