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Red12
22049.7
752811.9
41598.3
Blue38
21418.7
545825.3
46436.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274102060801238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7528
#33
11.91.6
13.311.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 13.4
5458
#10
25.30.1
22.122.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Second
2204
#26
9.71.6
8.87.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 1.0
2141
#23
8.70.1
5.15.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End1.3
Third
4159
#28
8.31.6
4.12.6
Auto0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 2.2
4643
#34
6.10.1
8.08.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed