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Red47
840416.6
388014.6
804823.4
Blue17
57283.4
34829.3
166212.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions692204060801001201404717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.8
22.621.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
red by 10.7
1662
#14
12.70.9
11.810.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Second
8404
#11
16.60.8
15.114.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
red by 7.3
3482
#24
9.30.9
7.76.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.2
Third
3880
#21
14.61.3
19.017.7
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
red by 11.2
5728
#38
3.40.9
5.74.8
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed