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Red26
66654.8
359814.1
325711.2
Blue36
545825.3
1995.1
413510.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480204060802636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#13
14.10.8
14.613.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End0.7
blue by 11.3
5458
#10
25.30.6
22.221.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Second
3257
#16
11.20.8
11.310.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.0
red by 0.4
4135
#32
10.80.6
13.412.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.5
Third
6665
#35
4.80.8
7.16.3
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
blue by 0.3
199
#31
5.10.6
6.25.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed