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Red10
55159.8
388014.6
46436.1
Blue36
166212.7
7517.3
255119.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37410102030506070801036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#21
14.62.7
17.715.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 5.1
19.80.1
17.917.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Second
5515
#19
9.82.7
8.45.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 2.9
1662
#14
12.70.1
10.910.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End2.3
Third
4643
#34
6.12.7
8.05.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End0.7
blue by 1.2
751
#27
7.30.1
8.07.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed