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Red98
541933.7
545825.3
694724.5
Blue86
25447.9
752811.9
801510.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835920401001201409886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.7
31.533.2
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
blue by 14.2
254
#3
47.93.3
38.741.9
Auto18.5
Teleop23.1
End6.3
Second
5458
#10
25.32.8
21.624.4
Auto8.3
Teleop14.9
End2.2
red by 13.4
7528
#33
11.93.0
11.114.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Third
24.52.5
19.421.8
Auto12.0
Teleop10.8
End1.7
red by 13.9
8015
#25
10.72.8
6.99.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed