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Qual 562024 Sacramento Regional
Red42
545825.3
57283.4
840416.6
Blue77
46436.1
25447.9
527416.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436602060801001204277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#10
25.30.0
24.4→24.4
Auto8.3
Teleop14.9
End2.2
blue by 22.6
254
#3
47.92.1
41.9→44.0
Auto18.5
Teleop23.1
End6.3
Second
8404
#11
16.60.0
13.4→13.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
red by 0.2
5274
#17
16.41.9
11.8→13.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.4
Third
5728
#38
3.40.0
3.9→3.9
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
blue by 2.7
4643
#34
6.11.9
3.4→5.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned