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Red33
69811.9
255119.8
213515.6
Blue9
66654.8
1995.1
57283.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4913020406080100339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.2
19.918.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 14.7
199
#31
5.11.2
6.04.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Second
2135
#18
15.61.7
16.214.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 10.8
6665
#35
4.81.2
6.25.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
Third
6981
#37
1.91.8
4.12.3
Auto0.4
Teleop-0.3
End1.7
blue by 1.5
5728
#38
3.41.2
3.92.7
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed