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Red59
41598.3
7017.5
541933.7
Blue30
46436.1
713012.7
76866.0
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55250204060801005930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.9
33.033.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 21.0
7130
#22
12.70.4
13.312.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Second
4159
#28
8.31.2
6.77.9
Auto0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 2.2
4643
#34
6.10.5
6.15.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Third
701
#29
7.51.2
6.27.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 1.4
7686
#15
6.00.5
6.96.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned