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Red26
55159.8
66654.8
801510.7
Blue30
359814.1
21418.7
388014.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2742010205060702630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8015
#25
10.70.0
10.610.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 4.0
3880
#21
14.60.4
13.112.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Second
5515
#19
9.80.0
10.910.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 4.3
3598
#13
14.10.4
13.713.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End0.7
Third
6665
#35
4.80.0
4.84.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
blue by 3.9
2141
#23
8.70.4
9.18.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed