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Red41
694724.5
766716.5
661927.3
Blue50
318913.2
840416.6
66654.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4137253035455055604150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.5
12.713.2
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End1.1
red by 10.7
8404
#11
16.60.0
14.414.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
Second
24.50.5
11.411.9
Auto12.0
Teleop10.8
End1.7
red by 11.3
3189
#12
13.20.0
11.011.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End1.1
Third
7667
#20
16.50.5
12.513.0
Auto5.9
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 11.7
6665
#35
4.80.0
8.48.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed