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Red75
545825.3
255119.8
325711.2
Blue60
840416.6
318913.2
388014.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634602040801007560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#10
25.30.2
24.925.1
Auto8.3
Teleop14.9
End2.2
red by 8.7
8404
#11
16.60.4
16.316.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
Second
19.80.2
19.419.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.0
End2.1
red by 5.1
3880
#21
14.60.4
14.314.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Third
3257
#16
11.20.2
10.811.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.0
blue by 2.0
3189
#12
13.20.4
12.813.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End1.1