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Red72
527416.4
359814.1
213515.6
Blue78
840416.6
388014.6
318913.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504102060807278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#17
16.40.6
15.816.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.4
blue by 0.2
8404
#11
16.60.9
14.615.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End1.3
Second
2135
#18
15.60.6
15.015.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 1.0
3880
#21
14.60.9
12.713.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Third
3598
#13
14.10.6
13.514.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End0.7
red by 0.9
3189
#12
13.20.9
11.212.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End1.1