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Red100
10729.9
541933.7
167850.8
Blue31
804823.4
55159.8
661927.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116420408010012014016010031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.2
50.950.7
Auto18.8
Teleop24.8
End7.1
red by 23.5
27.30.7
28.327.6
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End1.1
Second
33.70.2
33.833.6
Auto10.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 10.3
23.40.7
24.423.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Third
1072
#36
9.90.2
10.210.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 0.1
5515
#19
9.80.8
10.910.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End2.0