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Red66
441917.8
312826.5
945223.6
Blue33
265819.1
162215.8
55146.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724202060801001201406633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.7
20.920.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End1.2
red by 7.4
19.10.6
19.418.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
23.60.7
22.421.7
Auto9.6
Teleop13.1
End0.9
red by 7.8
1622
#14
15.80.6
19.619.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Third
17.80.7
18.517.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End0.5
red by 11.4
5514
#10
6.40.6
2.62.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed