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Red60
254314.8
364719.1
162215.8
Blue75
210220.4
374914.1
441917.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586202040801001201406075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.4
22.522.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End0.9
blue by 1.3
20.40.3
18.919.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Second
1622
#14
15.80.4
19.018.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 2.0
17.80.3
17.818.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End0.5
Third
14.80.4
11.711.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 0.6
3749
#11
14.10.3
19.219.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed