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Red70
312826.5
254314.8
325523.0
Blue48
374914.1
547413.5
364719.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66592040801001207048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.1
23.823.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End1.2
red by 7.4
19.11.4
22.020.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End0.9
Second
23.00.1
22.822.9
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
red by 8.9
3749
#11
14.11.4
17.516.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.4
Third
14.80.1
12.112.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
red by 1.3
5474
#13
13.51.4
14.813.4
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed