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Red40
547413.5
162215.8
265819.1
Blue54
364719.1
325523.0
210220.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537202040801001201401604054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.0
20.319.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
blue by 3.9
23.01.1
22.921.8
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
Second
1622
#14
15.81.0
17.015.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 4.6
20.41.1
19.818.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Third
5474
#13
13.51.0
13.412.3
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
blue by 5.6
19.11.1
20.619.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed