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Red81
325523.0
945223.6
374914.1
Blue46
265819.1
441917.8
547413.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866620401001201401601808146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.0
27.727.7
Auto9.6
Teleop13.1
End0.9
red by 4.5
19.11.1
22.421.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
23.00.0
25.625.6
Auto3.1
Teleop19.8
End0.1
red by 5.2
17.81.1
20.719.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End0.5
Third
3749
#11
14.10.0
22.522.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End0.4
red by 0.6
5474
#13
13.51.3
18.717.4
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed