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Red55
414119.4
884014.5
699813.3
Blue44
248918.4
135120.6
963410.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35500204060805544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#19
19.42.4
8.911.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.5
End-0.1
blue by 1.2
1351
#25
20.60.0
16.716.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.2
End1.6
Second
8840
#23
14.51.6
10.812.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.2
blue by 3.9
2489
#16
18.40.0
17.017.0
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End-0.4
Third
6998
#26
13.32.4
13.716.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End0.4
red by 2.9
9634
#28
10.40.1
9.89.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed