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Red69
581730.9
876816.1
97225.0
Blue45
940011.9
970613.2
392519.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69330204060801001206945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#11
30.90.1
23.023.1
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
red by 11.6
3925
#13
19.30.8
11.612.4
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
972
#17
25.00.1
19.519.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.6
End1.6
red by 11.8
9706
#36
13.21.2
10.711.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.9
Third
8768
#10
16.10.1
15.315.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
red by 4.2
9400
#32
11.91.2
11.813.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed