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Red72
392519.3
581730.9
397023.5
Blue33
128012.1
248918.4
68043.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7737020601001201407233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#11
30.90.4
25.425.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
red by 12.4
2489
#16
18.40.4
19.218.8
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End-0.4
Second
23.50.4
25.826.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End1.9
red by 11.3
1280
#33
12.10.6
11.410.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
3925
#13
19.30.4
14.114.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 15.5
6804
#39
3.80.6
8.17.4
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed