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Red61
84027.0
60599.1
135120.6
Blue70
432210.0
167125.0
876816.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605202040801001206170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#5
27.00.5
25.225.7
Auto9.5
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 2.0
1671
#15
25.01.1
21.522.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.8
End3.1
Second
1351
#25
20.60.5
17.017.5
Auto5.8
Teleop13.2
End1.6
red by 4.5
8768
#10
16.11.1
15.016.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
Third
6059
#35
9.10.9
11.011.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 0.9
4322
#24
10.01.1
11.412.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed