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Red62
666222.2
128012.1
970613.2
Blue78
715723.8
940011.9
135120.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456020801001206278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6662
#14
22.21.4
19.621.0
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 1.6
23.81.2
20.321.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Second
9706
#36
13.22.3
10.713.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.9
blue by 7.4
1351
#25
20.61.2
17.518.8
Auto5.8
Teleop13.2
End1.6
Third
1280
#33
12.12.3
10.813.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.3
red by 0.3
9400
#32
11.92.1
11.613.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned