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Red52
840420.1
236711.1
940011.9
Blue80
715723.8
67115.6
58134.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4180020601001201405280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#20
20.10.7
16.917.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End0.6
blue by 14.7
581
#4
34.80.8
37.137.9
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End4.8
Second
9400
#32
11.91.1
13.714.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End0.5
blue by 11.9
23.80.8
21.522.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End2.7
Third
2367
#34
11.10.7
11.011.7
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End1.2
red by 5.5
6711
#37
5.61.3
8.710.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsEarned