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Red102
914312.3
715723.8
132343.6
Blue45
517110.9
248918.4
581730.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8562204010012014010245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.62.1
40.142.1
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
red by 12.8
5817
#11
30.90.9
29.728.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.7
End3.1
Second
23.81.5
23.525.1
Auto7.3
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 5.4
2489
#16
18.40.9
19.418.5
Auto8.5
Teleop10.3
End-0.4
Third
9143
#21
12.31.5
10.311.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.8
red by 1.4
5171
#31
10.91.2
9.78.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
74%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed