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Red112
351219.8
594045.4
876816.1
Blue69
666222.2
68043.8
132343.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887505010015020011269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.8
44.645.4
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End6.3
red by 1.8
43.60.5
42.141.7
Auto16.4
Teleop21.5
End5.7
Second
3512
#18
19.80.8
18.819.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End4.4
blue by 2.4
6662
#14
22.20.4
23.222.8
Auto10.5
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Third
8768
#10
16.10.8
14.415.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End2.9
red by 12.3
6804
#39
3.80.5
4.43.9
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsMissed