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Red27
34737.2
116016.4
340810.5
Blue67
741519.7
412313.1
940834.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34540204060802767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#13
16.40.7
12.511.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.0
blue by 17.9
34.31.6
23.425.0
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End4.0
Second
3408
#39
10.50.7
13.312.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 9.2
19.72.2
13.415.6
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End1.1
Third
3473
#31
7.20.5
7.77.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.2
blue by 5.9
4123
#18
13.12.2
10.012.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned