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Red72
940834.3
508912.7
95646.0
Blue68
258420.5
9689.0
145219.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465030406070807268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.31.2
25.026.2
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End4.0
red by 13.8
2584
#15
20.52.9
16.719.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Second
5089
#29
12.71.7
10.812.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.7
blue by 7.0
19.71.7
15.417.1
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Third
9564
#36
6.01.7
8.610.4
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 3.0
968
#33
9.02.9
9.812.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed