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Red58
420124.3
508912.7
741519.7
Blue54
17594.0
940834.3
60007.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55422060805854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.3
20.019.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End3.3
blue by 10.0
34.30.6
26.226.8
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End4.0
Second
19.70.6
15.514.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End1.1
red by 12.4
6000
#41
7.31.1
6.98.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Third
5089
#29
12.70.6
12.511.9
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 8.6
1759
#43
4.01.1
6.37.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed