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Red39
16619.8
151519.0
26377.6
Blue27
69043.8
38599.0
59720.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383828303234364042443927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#16
19.00.5
15.716.2
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
blue by 1.3
597
#17
20.31.0
16.315.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.1
End1.6
Second
1661
#22
9.80.3
8.28.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End1.0
red by 0.8
3859
#32
9.00.6
10.59.9
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.7
Third
2637
#27
7.60.5
10.711.2
Auto1.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
red by 3.8
6904
#44
3.81.0
7.36.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed