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Red98
340810.5
258420.5
68729.6
Blue44
45016.5
116016.4
519925.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73480204060801001209844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#5
29.60.7
30.230.9
Auto12.9
Teleop16.5
End0.3
red by 4.6
25.00.2
22.722.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2
Second
2584
#15
20.51.1
19.620.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 4.0
1160
#13
16.40.3
14.614.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Third
3408
#39
10.51.1
13.114.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End1.6
red by 4.0
4501
#25
6.50.2
9.39.1
Auto4.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed