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Red57
49999.5
59720.3
940834.3
Blue48
508912.7
114822.5
713712.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6752204060801001205748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.30.4
29.228.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End4.0
red by 11.8
22.50.4
22.221.8
Auto2.6
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Second
597
#17
20.30.7
17.416.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.1
End1.6
red by 7.6
5089
#29
12.70.6
12.011.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Third
4999
#30
9.50.7
11.911.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 3.2
7137
#11
12.60.6
14.513.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed