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Red38
271019.5
69043.8
45016.5
Blue50
116016.4
56698.9
145219.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344202060803850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#23
19.50.0
16.516.5
Auto9.7
Teleop8.2
End1.6
blue by 0.2
19.70.5
19.119.6
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Second
4501
#25
6.50.0
8.88.8
Auto4.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
blue by 10.0
1160
#13
16.40.9
11.512.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Third
6904
#44
3.80.1
6.26.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.3
End-0.1
blue by 5.1
5669
#40
8.90.9
6.37.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed