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Red71
11598.3
56698.9
420124.3
Blue10
95646.0
88987.8
38599.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393101020506070807110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.7
22.323.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End3.3
red by 15.3
3859
#32
9.01.3
9.38.1
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.7
Second
5669
#40
8.92.4
5.47.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.5
red by 1.1
8898
#26
7.81.8
11.09.2
Auto1.8
Teleop5.9
End0.1
Third
1159
#24
8.31.7
6.48.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 2.3
9564
#36
6.01.8
8.56.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed