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Red58
519925.0
145219.7
183610.7
Blue60
38599.0
741519.7
244318.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614320801001205860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.3
24.625.0
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End5.2
red by 5.3
19.71.2
18.219.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End1.1
Second
19.70.3
19.119.5
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
red by 1.5
2443
#20
18.21.2
15.116.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End-0.1
Third
1836
#28
10.70.5
9.29.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End-0.3
red by 1.7
3859
#32
9.00.9
8.19.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed