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Red82
145219.7
741519.7
59720.3
Blue75
114822.5
70215.9
244318.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6755204060801008275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#17
20.30.2
20.020.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 2.2
22.50.4
21.021.4
Auto2.6
Teleop17.1
End2.8
Second
19.70.2
19.519.6
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End2.7
red by 1.5
2443
#20
18.20.5
16.316.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End-0.1
Third
19.70.2
19.419.6
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End1.1
red by 3.8
702
#21
15.90.5
14.014.5
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End1.5