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Red53
508916.5
41718.7
696223.4
Blue74
97131.3
570022.2
10028.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526401001505374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6962
#15
23.40.4
22.622.2
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 8.0
971
#5
31.31.2
24.425.6
Auto11.7
Teleop16.2
End3.5
Second
5089
#16
16.50.4
15.214.8
Auto7.0
Teleop8.7
End0.8
blue by 11.5
100
#3
28.01.2
19.821.0
Auto9.3
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Third
4171
#36
8.70.7
10.49.7
Auto6.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
blue by 13.5
5700
#10
22.21.2
11.913.1
Auto12.3
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned