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Red39
510418.0
264314.3
41718.7
Blue81
97131.3
213525.5
366917.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28700204060801001201403981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#22
18.00.6
11.211.7
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 13.4
971
#5
31.31.2
25.626.8
Auto11.7
Teleop16.2
End3.5
Second
2643
#11
14.30.6
9.510.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End0.7
blue by 11.1
25.51.2
17.218.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Third
4171
#36
8.71.0
9.710.7
Auto6.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
blue by 9.1
3669
#12
17.81.2
15.616.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed