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Red45
508916.5
213525.5
25316.7
Blue78
8528.2
696223.4
570022.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52504060704578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.1
18.418.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 2.1
6962
#15
23.41.8
21.923.7
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
Second
253
#13
16.70.1
13.313.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.8
blue by 5.5
5700
#10
22.21.8
13.515.4
Auto12.3
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Third
5089
#16
16.50.1
15.215.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.7
End0.8
red by 8.3
852
#35
8.21.8
9.911.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed