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Red67
325715.9
41718.7
97131.3
Blue61
691812.0
128016.1
107217.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49280204060801006761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#5
31.31.6
21.523.1
Auto11.7
Teleop16.2
End3.5
red by 13.7
1072
#14
17.72.2
9.912.1
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
3257
#23
15.91.3
11.212.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
blue by 0.3
1280
#26
16.12.2
12.114.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End1.3
Third
4171
#36
8.72.2
9.211.4
Auto6.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
blue by 3.3
6918
#17
12.02.7
6.08.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed