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Red76
213525.5
691812.0
247321.4
Blue63
264314.3
64920.6
696223.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48642040801001207663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.8
18.320.1
Auto10.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 2.1
6962
#15
23.40.5
23.724.2
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.3
Second
2473
#18
21.41.8
19.221.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.1
End1.1
red by 0.9
649
#27
20.60.5
22.122.5
Auto8.8
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Third
6918
#17
12.01.8
7.69.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
blue by 2.4
2643
#11
14.30.5
10.310.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed