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Red41
95466.6
425516.1
510418.0
Blue48
413516.5
77778.0
570022.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373620304050604148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#22
18.00.7
14.214.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 4.2
5700
#10
22.20.4
15.415.8
Auto12.3
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Second
4255
#30
16.11.1
10.611.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 0.4
16.50.4
14.514.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Third
9546
#32
6.61.1
6.47.5
Auto1.0
Teleop5.8
End-0.3
blue by 1.4
7777
#21
8.00.4
5.35.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed