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Red41
517115.8
8528.2
476523.0
Blue83
97131.3
264314.3
65067.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5249203040607080904183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.7
19.919.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.8
blue by 8.4
971
#5
31.31.6
26.027.6
Auto11.7
Teleop16.2
End3.5
Second
5171
#20
15.80.7
15.614.9
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 1.5
2643
#11
14.31.6
12.013.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
852
#35
8.20.7
11.410.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.6
red by 0.8
6506
#34
7.42.4
6.58.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed